MARKETS ARE NOT EFFICIENT

AND

PEOPLE ARE NOT RATIONAL

AthenaInvest applies behavioral finance to build innovative investment solutions.

LEARN HOW

  • A Different Kind of Bear

    A Different Kind of Bear

    The last couple of years have been very unusual. 2020 was one of the most volatile markets in recent history but the S&P 500 Price Index finished with a positive return roughly double its annual average. 2022 was just the opposite. While there was little evidence of investor panic typical of Bear Markets, stocks significantly declined in value with the S&P 500 finishing the year down 19.4%.

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  • How Long do Bear Markets Last?

    How Long do Bear Markets Last?

    The current Bear Market, defined as a loss of 20% or more from an all-time high, has lasted 11 months so far. But did the market hit its low point at -25% on October 13, or will there be more declines to come? While every Bear Market is different, history can provide some perspective on where we are now. The median duration of the decline for the 11 Bear Markets charted below is 15 months while the median loss is 34%.

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  • Bear Market Rally or New Bull Market?

    Bear Market Rally or New Bull Market?

    Investors wonder about the current bear market and want to know if we are “out of the woods” or if there is “more pain to come”. The graphic below shows that the stronger the rally, the higher the probability that the bear market will end. After a 17.4% rally from the June S&P 500 lows, there is a low probability (3.6%) that the current rally will fail. However, if it does fail, the historical average decline from these levels to the ultimate bear market low would be 31% and take seven months.

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  • War and Markets

    War and Markets

    Armed conflicts are highly charged events that by their very nature generate legitimate and strong emotional responses. While there are many questions and implications around armed conflicts, as long-term investors, an important question is what we should do from an investment perspective? For guidance, we look at how the US stock market has reacted to 16 armed conflicts since the end of World War II.

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  • Nobody Can See the Future

    Nobody Can See the Future

    It’s that time again where everyone is offering their views on the upcoming year, with market commentary and outlooks. Last year’s results, data and opinion are assembled into a narrative along with forecasts and implied recommendations. Investors seeking to reduce uncertainty and anxiety are easily attracted to such prognostications.

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  • GLOBAL TACTICAL

    GLOBAL TACTICAL

    Tactical market rotation strategy designed to invest in the right market at the right time.

  • MARKET ROTATION

    MARKET ROTATION

    Tactical strategy designed to rotate among markets based on investor behavior.

  • PURE VALUATION

    PURE VALUATION

    Focused deep-​value strategy designed to generate long-term​ performance.

Contact

AthenaInvest Advisors LLC
5340 South Quebec Street, Suite 320-S
Greenwood Village, CO 80111

Phone:   (877) 430-5675
Fax:        (303) 721-6294
Email:     support@athenainvest.com